Sub-Seasonal Climate Forecast Rodeo
Launched December 2016
Registration closed May 13, 2017
UPDATE - January 5, 2018 - The Forecast Rodeo Prize Competition is approximately halfway through and is showing strong results for forecasts of both temperature and precipitation! A number of teams are out-performing the benchmarks and some have opened notable leads. However, precipitation over next few months is critical to water availability for the upcoming year, so there is great interest in the remaining forecast results. See the latest scores and rankings at NIDIS and check back often. Winners are anticipated to be announced in September of 2018.
UPDATE - May 17, 2017 - The Forecast Rodeo Prize Competition is in full swing and after a month of action, the first scores toward up to $800,000 in cash prizes will be released this week. This year-long, real-time forecasting competition, focused on western U.S. temperature and precipitation for weeks 3&4 and weeks 5&6. Reclamation is sponsoring the competition in partnership with NOAA, USGS, and the US Army Corps of Engineers. Forecasts are issued every other week and evaluated as observed data become available. To be eligible for cash prizes, teams must outperform benchmark existing forecasts. Winners are anticipated to be announced in September of 2018. Check back for new scores and other updates over the next year!